Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Galatasaray v Goztepe

Início: 2026-08-29 18:33 UTC

Final: Galatasaray 3–2 Goztepe

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Galatasaray (Local)

Previsão 74.55%1.34odd justa
EV -3.83%
Vantagem -2.97%
Kelly -13.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.39%74.49%74.59%76.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.02%79.68%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Goztepe (Visitante)

Previsão 9.58%10.44odd justa
EV +6.09%
Vantagem +0.550%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.64%9.59%9.55%11.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.009.649.6811.0812.50%10.38%10.34%9.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.88%6.30odd justa
EV +3.19%
Vantagem +0.491%
Kelly +0.581%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.53%15.92%15.86%17.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.305.775.806.5018.87%17.34%17.24%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Galatasaray (Local): 74.55%; Goztepe (Visitante): 9.58%; Empate: 15.88%. Para Goztepe (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.44. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.08, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.06%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%11.08I 9.03%NM 8.65%EV +6.09%E +0.550%K +0.605%G +0.037%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.29%EV -0.458%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:26
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +5.33%E +0.484%K +0.533%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.33%E +0.484%K +0.533%G +0.028%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:15
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -3.83%E -2.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV -0.300%E -0.048%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:26
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.776%E -0.124%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.776%E -0.124%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -7.13%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:25
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.89%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.39%EV -3.77%E -0.375%K -0.416%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:26
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:26
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:03
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.52%EV -4.53%E -0.455%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:45
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.47%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -6.64%E -0.681%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.56%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -8.08%E -0.841%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +3.19%E +0.491%K +0.581%G +0.019%5.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:26
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.68%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:26
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.54%E -8.78%K -52.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.54%E -8.78%K -52.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -15.86%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -15.86%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.39%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.92I 11.21%NM 10.39%EV -14.59%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.22%EV -14.59%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.39%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.92I 11.21%NM 10.39%EV -14.59%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.22%EV -14.59%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.62%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.18%EV -16.22%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:26
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.18%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.40%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -23.40%E -2.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.38%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -23.40%E -2.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67%0.2%2026-08-29 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.81%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.23%0.4%2026-08-29 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-08-29 18:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-08-29 18:26