Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray v Goztepe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 18:33 UTC

Score final : Galatasaray 3–2 Goztepe

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 74.55%1.34cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -13.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.39%74.49%74.59%76.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.02%79.68%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Goztepe (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.58%10.44cote équitable
EV +6.09%
Avantage +0.550%
Kelly +0.605%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 11.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.64%9.59%9.55%11.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.649.6811.0812.50%10.38%10.34%9.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.88%6.30cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.491%
Kelly +0.581%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.53%15.92%15.86%17.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.305.775.806.5018.87%17.34%17.24%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Galatasaray (Local) : 74.55% ; Goztepe (Visiteur) : 9.58% ; Match nul : 15.88%. Pour Goztepe (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.44. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 11.08, soit une espérance positive de +6.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.06%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%11.08I 9.03%NM 8.65%EV +6.09%E +0.550%K +0.605%G +0.037%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.29%EV -0.458%E -0.073%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 18:26
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.50%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +5.33%E +0.484%K +0.533%G +0.028%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +5.33%E +0.484%K +0.533%G +0.028%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 18:15
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -3.83%E -2.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV -0.300%E -0.048%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-29 18:26
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.776%E -0.124%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.52%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.35%EV -0.776%E -0.124%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +0.541%E +0.051%K +0.057%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -7.13%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:25
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.89%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.39%EV -3.77%E -0.375%K -0.416%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:26
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:26
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:26
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -4.25%E -0.425%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:03
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.12%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.97I 10.03%NM 9.52%EV -4.53%E -0.455%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.36%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 17:45
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.47%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -6.64%E -0.681%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.56%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.34%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -8.08%E -0.841%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 17:45
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +3.19%E +0.491%K +0.581%G +0.019%5.9%2026-08-29 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -5.32%E -4.19%K -19.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.75%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.90%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:26
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.68%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 18:26
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.54%E -8.78%K -52.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.54%E -8.78%K -52.71%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -9.03%E -0.951%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.81%E -5.45%K -27.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.04%EV -8.30%E -6.75%K -36.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -8.71%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -15.86%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -13.82%E -1.54%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -15.86%E -2.99%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:25
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.39%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.92I 11.21%NM 10.39%EV -14.59%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.22%EV -14.59%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.39%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.92I 11.21%NM 10.39%EV -14.59%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.22%EV -14.59%E -2.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.62%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.18%EV -16.22%E -1.85%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:26
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.92%EV -4.58%E -3.58%K -16.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.68%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.18%EV -9.80%E -8.10%K -46.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -18.61%E -2.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.40%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -23.40%E -2.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.74%E -0.791%K -0.949%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.38%EV -9.05%E -7.42%K -41.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -23.40%E -2.92%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.43%EV -7.92%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67%0.2%2026-08-29 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.81%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.23%0.4%2026-08-29 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.72%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.65%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.63%0.5%2026-08-29 18:25
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-08-29 18:25
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.99%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.8%2026-08-29 18:26