Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.15
assuming max odds 23.82
assuming max odds 11.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 84.55%; Antalyaspor (Visit): 5.21%; Draw: 10.24%. For Antalyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.20. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.07%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.16%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000% | 23.82I 4.20%NM 4.02%EV +24.07%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.254% | 10.87I 9.20%NM 8.82%EV +11.27%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.129% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.22%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +19.80%E +0.861%K +0.900%G +0.178% | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.57%EV +15.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.238% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000% | 22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123% | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000% | 22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123% | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.70%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +14.59%E +0.663%K +0.695%G +0.101% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +7.48%E +0.712%K +0.787%G +0.059% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +4.17%E +0.209%K +0.220%G +0.009% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.81%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.83%E -0.633%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.27%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.73%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.44%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 17.75I 5.63%NM 5.25%EV -7.54%E -0.425%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +2.36%E +0.236%K +0.263%G +0.006% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.67%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.02%EV -16.06%E -1.96%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 84.62%EV -11.22%E -10.68%K -224.35%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -10.43%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.53%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 16.75I 5.97%NM 5.44%EV -12.75%E -0.761%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -15.55%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.99%EV -20.67%E -2.67%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.50% | 32.05I 3.12%NM 3.08% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.91% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |