L’École des cotes

Galatasaray v Antalyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Score final : Galatasaray 4–2 Antalyaspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 84.55%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -18.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.21%84.61%84.48%87.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.111.1595.24%90.55%90.09%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Antalyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.21%19.20cote équitable
EV +24.07%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.254%

avec la cote maximale 23.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.02%5.14%5.25%6.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
14.0017.6317.0023.827.14%5.67%5.88%4.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 10.24%9.77cote équitable
EV +15.67%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.238%

avec la cote maximale 11.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.57%10.25%10.27%12.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.779.0011.3013.33%11.41%11.11%8.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.16%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%23.82I 4.20%NM 4.02%EV +24.07%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.254%10.87I 9.20%NM 8.82%EV +11.27%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.129%4.3%2026-05-09 16:59
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.22%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +19.80%E +0.861%K +0.900%G +0.178%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.57%EV +15.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.238%3.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.70%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +14.59%E +0.663%K +0.695%G +0.101%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +7.48%E +0.712%K +0.787%G +0.059%5.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:00
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +4.17%E +0.209%K +0.220%G +0.009%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.81%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.83%E -0.633%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.27%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.73%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.44%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.25%EV -7.54%E -0.425%K -0.450%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +2.36%E +0.236%K +0.263%G +0.006%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.67%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.02%EV -16.06%E -1.96%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.62%EV -11.22%E -10.68%K -224.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -10.43%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.53%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.44%EV -12.75%E -0.761%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -15.55%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.41%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.99%EV -20.67%E -2.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:00
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%1.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.50%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.91%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80%2.3%2026-05-09 17:00