La escuela de los momios

Galatasaray v Antalyaspor

Inicio: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Final: Galatasaray 4–2 Antalyaspor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galatasaray (Local)

Predicción 84.55%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -2.40%
Kelly -18.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.21%84.61%84.48%87.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.101.111.1595.24%90.55%90.09%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Antalyaspor (Visitante)

Predicción 5.21%19.20momio equitativo
EV +24.07%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.254%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 23.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.02%5.14%5.25%6.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
14.0017.6317.0023.827.14%5.67%5.88%4.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 10.24%9.77momio equitativo
EV +15.67%
Ventaja +1.39%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.238%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.57%10.25%10.27%12.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.779.0011.3013.33%11.41%11.11%8.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.16%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%23.82I 4.20%NM 4.02%EV +24.07%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.254%10.87I 9.20%NM 8.82%EV +11.27%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.129%4.3%2026-05-09 16:59
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.22%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +19.80%E +0.861%K +0.900%G +0.178%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.57%EV +15.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.238%3.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.70%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +14.59%E +0.663%K +0.695%G +0.101%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +7.48%E +0.712%K +0.787%G +0.059%5.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:00
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +4.17%E +0.209%K +0.220%G +0.009%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.81%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.83%E -0.633%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.27%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.73%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.44%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.25%EV -7.54%E -0.425%K -0.450%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +2.36%E +0.236%K +0.263%G +0.006%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.67%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.02%EV -16.06%E -1.96%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.62%EV -11.22%E -10.68%K -224.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -10.43%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.53%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.44%EV -12.75%E -0.761%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -15.55%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.41%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.99%EV -20.67%E -2.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:00
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%1.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.50%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.91%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80%2.3%2026-05-09 17:00