A Escola das Odds

Galatasaray v Antalyaspor

Início: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Final: Galatasaray 4–2 Antalyaspor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Galatasaray (Local)

Previsão 84.55%1.18odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -2.40%
Kelly -18.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.21%84.61%84.48%87.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.051.101.111.1595.24%90.55%90.09%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Antalyaspor (Visitante)

Previsão 5.21%19.20odd justa
EV +24.07%
Vantagem +1.01%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.254%

pressupondo odds máximas de 23.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.02%5.14%5.25%6.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
14.0017.6317.0023.827.14%5.67%5.88%4.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 10.24%9.77odd justa
EV +15.67%
Vantagem +1.39%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.238%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.57%10.25%10.27%12.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.508.779.0011.3013.33%11.41%11.11%8.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.16%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%23.82I 4.20%NM 4.02%EV +24.07%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.254%10.87I 9.20%NM 8.82%EV +11.27%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.129%4.3%2026-05-09 16:59
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 87.22%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +19.80%E +0.861%K +0.900%G +0.178%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.57%EV +15.67%E +1.39%K +1.52%G +0.238%3.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.24%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%22.30I 4.48%NM 4.18%EV +16.15%E +0.724%K +0.758%G +0.123%9.72I 10.29%NM 9.58%EV -0.504%E -0.052%K -0.058%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.70%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.30%EV +14.59%E +0.663%K +0.695%G +0.101%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV +7.48%E +0.712%K +0.787%G +0.059%5.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.83%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +9.38%E +0.447%K +0.469%G +0.044%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:00
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 85.06%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +4.17%E +0.209%K +0.220%G +0.009%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.81%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.23%EV -5.83%E -0.633%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.20%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.27%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.73%EV -1.03%E -0.054%K -0.057%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.51%EV -3.61%E -3.16%K -25.77%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.20%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.74%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.27%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -6.24%E -0.347%K -0.367%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.44%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.25%EV -7.54%E -0.425%K -0.450%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV +2.36%E +0.236%K +0.263%G +0.006%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -12.99%E -1.53%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 85.08%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.46%EV +0.315%E +0.032%K +0.036%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.55%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.67%EV -8.68%E -8.04%K -108.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.32%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.02%EV -16.06%E -1.96%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.62%EV -11.22%E -10.68%K -224.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -11.45%E -0.674%K -0.716%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -10.43%E -1.19%K -1.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.53%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.44%EV -12.75%E -0.761%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.04%EV -15.55%E -1.88%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.41%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.65%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.99%EV -20.67%E -2.67%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:00
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 84.32%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.94%EV -5.31%E -0.575%K -0.644%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.90%EV -6.99%E -6.35%K -69.90%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.41%EV -7.84%E -7.19%K -87.06%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.61%EV -16.66%E -1.04%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -23.23%E -3.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.25%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV -2.76%E -0.290%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 16:59
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -6.14%E -5.54%K -55.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 82.98%EV -9.53%E -8.90%K -136.09%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -21.87%E -1.46%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -18.11%E -2.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.30%E -4.73%K -44.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -27.08%E -1.93%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -7.87%E -0.875%K -0.984%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.87%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.10%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.31%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60%1.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.50%32.05I 3.12%NM 3.08%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%1.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.91%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.80%2.3%2026-05-09 17:00