Language:English
Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 48.90%2.05fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.98%48.92%48.89%50.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.891.9656.18%53.01%52.91%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Besiktas JK (Visit)
Prediction 24.72%4.05fair odd
EV +4.55%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 4.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.74%24.74%26.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.61%26.67%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.381%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.23%26.34%26.37%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.49%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 48.90%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 24.72%; Draw: 26.39%. For Besiktas JK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.55%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.93%EV +4.55%E +1.07%K +1.41%G +0.064% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -5.53%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV +2.07%E +0.502%K +0.663%G +0.014% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.44%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.22%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-05 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -4.60%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 16:53 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 16:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.12%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.12%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.13%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-05 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-05 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -12.75%E -3.61%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -11.08%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 16:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -14.73%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.20%E -5.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-05 16:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 16:45 |