مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK

البداية: 2026-04-05 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fenerbahce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.90%2.05السعر العادل
EV -4.16%
الأفضلية -2.12%
Kelly -4.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.98%48.92%48.89%50.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.891.891.9656.18%53.01%52.91%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Besiktas JK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.72%4.05السعر العادل
EV +4.55%
الأفضلية +1.07%
Kelly +1.41%
النمو +0.064%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.93%24.74%24.74%26.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.61%26.67%23.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.39%3.79السعر العادل
EV -1.05%
الأفضلية -0.280%
Kelly -0.381%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.23%26.34%26.37%27.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.49%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.93%EV +4.55%E +1.07%K +1.41%G +0.064%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -5.53%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 16:55
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV +2.07%E +0.502%K +0.663%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 16:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:54
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:55
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:55
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.44%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.22%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -4.60%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 16:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:53
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:53
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 16:54
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 16:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 16:50
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.12%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:34
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.12%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:34
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:25
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 16:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 16:14
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.13%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 16:44
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:35
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:35
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 10:44
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 16:55
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -12.75%E -3.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -11.08%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 16:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -14.73%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.20%E -5.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 16:53
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-05 16:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-05 16:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-04-05 16:45