L’École des cotes

Fenerbahce v Besiktas JK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prévision 48.90%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.98%48.92%48.89%50.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.891.891.9656.18%53.01%52.91%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Besiktas JK (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.72%4.05cote équitable
EV +4.55%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.93%24.74%24.74%26.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.763.754.2329.41%26.61%26.67%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.39%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.280%
Kelly -0.381%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%26.34%26.37%27.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.49%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.93%EV +4.55%E +1.07%K +1.41%G +0.064%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -5.53%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 16:55
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.79%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV +2.07%E +0.502%K +0.663%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 16:55
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.96%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +1.33%E +0.325%K +0.430%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 16:55
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.14%E -0.285%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -8.56%E -4.58%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:54
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:55
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -2.37%E -0.601%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:55
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.44%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.22%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 16:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 16:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 16:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -3.61%E -0.926%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:55
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -4.60%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 16:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 16:35
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:53
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 16:53
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 16:54
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.05%E -0.280%K -0.381%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 16:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 16:50
Betsson1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.12%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:34
NordicBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.12%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 16:34
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.11%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -7.32%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:35
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:49
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.01%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 16:25
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.55%E -2.31%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 16:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 16:14
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.13%EV -12.96%E -7.28%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.68%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-05 16:44
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.03%E -5.45%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 16:35
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.05%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 16:35
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 10:44
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.02%E -3.06%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 16:55
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.26%E -3.45%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 16:24
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -9.54%E -5.16%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -12.75%E -3.61%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.48%EV -11.08%E -3.29%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.33%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 16:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.50%E -3.86%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.65%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -7.58%E -4.01%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -14.73%E -4.27%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.92%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.93%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.97%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.52%E -5.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -15.97%E -4.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -18.20%E -5.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 16:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-05 16:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-05 16:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-04-05 16:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-04-05 16:45