Language:English
Besiktas JK v Fatih Karagümrük
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Besiktas JK (Local)
Prediction 70.71%1.41fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -12.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.56%70.73%70.64%72.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3580.65%77.15%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fatih Karagümrük (Visit)
Prediction 11.31%8.84fair odd
EV +7.41%
Edge +0.780%
Kelly +0.872%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.91%11.36%11.29%14.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.008.258.509.5016.67%12.13%11.76%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +0.740%
Kelly +0.895%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.28%17.91%18.07%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.185.255.8023.09%19.30%19.05%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 70.71%; Fatih Karagümrük (Visit): 11.31%; Draw: 17.98%. For Fatih Karagümrük (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.84. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.32%EV -5.25%E -3.91%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.65%EV +2.89%E +0.317%K +0.356%G +0.010% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 17.03%EV +2.32%E +0.407%K +0.494%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.56%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +4.29%E +0.740%K +0.895%G +0.038% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -5.03%E -0.599%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -6.66%E -5.05%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.35%EV -5.82%E -0.699%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.06%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.44%EV -6.16%E -0.742%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.22%EV -6.32%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -11.81%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -22.14%E -5.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.79%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -18.03%E -2.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.17%EV -13.69%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 06:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -18.60%E -2.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 05:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -19.08%E -4.24%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.02%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.17%EV -9.49%E -7.41%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.12%EV -23.68%E -3.51%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 67.56%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.08%EV -32.16%E -5.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.36%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 12.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.67% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |