La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Besiktas JK v Fatih Karagümrük
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Besiktas JK (Casa)
Previsione 70.71%1.41quota equa
EV -4.54%
Vantaggio -3.36%
Kelly -12.97%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.56%70.73%70.64%72.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.301.301.3580.65%77.15%76.92%74.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fatih Karagümrük (Trasferta)
Previsione 11.31%8.84quota equa
EV +7.41%
Vantaggio +0.780%
Kelly +0.872%
Crescita +0.065%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.91%11.36%11.29%14.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.008.258.509.5016.67%12.13%11.76%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.98%5.56quota equa
EV +4.29%
Vantaggio +0.740%
Kelly +0.895%
Crescita +0.038%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.28%17.91%18.07%20.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.185.255.8023.09%19.30%19.05%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.32%EV -5.25%E -3.91%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.65%EV +2.89%E +0.317%K +0.356%G +0.010% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 17.03%EV +2.32%E +0.407%K +0.494%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.56%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +4.29%E +0.740%K +0.895%G +0.038% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -5.03%E -0.599%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 08:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -6.66%E -5.05%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.35%EV -5.82%E -0.699%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.06%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:00 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.44%EV -6.16%E -0.742%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.22%EV -6.32%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -11.81%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -22.14%E -5.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.79%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -18.03%E -2.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.17%EV -13.69%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 06:47 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -18.60%E -2.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 05:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -19.08%E -4.24%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.02%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.17%EV -9.49%E -7.41%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.12%EV -23.68%E -3.51%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 67.56%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.08%EV -32.16%E -5.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.36%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 12.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.67% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |