La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Besiktas JK v Fatih Karagümrük
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Besiktas JK (Local)
Predicción 70.71%1.41momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -3.36%
Kelly -12.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.56%70.73%70.64%72.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.301.301.3580.65%77.15%76.92%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fatih Karagümrük (Visitante)
Predicción 11.31%8.84momio equitativo
EV +7.41%
Ventaja +0.780%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.91%11.36%11.29%14.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.008.258.509.5016.67%12.13%11.76%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.98%5.56momio equitativo
EV +4.29%
Ventaja +0.740%
Kelly +0.895%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.28%17.91%18.07%20.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.185.255.8023.09%19.30%19.05%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.32%EV -5.25%E -3.91%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.65%EV +2.89%E +0.317%K +0.356%G +0.010% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 17.03%EV +2.32%E +0.407%K +0.494%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.56%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Casumo | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 17:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +4.29%E +0.740%K +0.895%G +0.038% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -5.03%E -0.599%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 08:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -6.66%E -5.05%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.35%EV -5.82%E -0.699%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.06%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:00 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.44%EV -6.16%E -0.742%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.22%EV -6.32%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 08:25 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:45 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 09:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -11.81%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Bovada | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 14:50 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -22.14%E -5.11%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.79%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -18.03%E -2.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.17%EV -13.69%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-23 06:47 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -18.60%E -2.58%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 05:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -19.08%E -4.24%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.02%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 09:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.17%EV -9.49%E -7.41%K -33.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.12%EV -23.68%E -3.51%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 67.56%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.08%EV -32.16%E -5.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.36%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-23 09:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.34% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 12.63% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03% | 10.9% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 9.67% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |