A Escola das Odds

Besiktas JK v Fatih Karagümrük

Início: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Previsão 70.71%1.41odd justa
EV -4.54%
Vantagem -3.36%
Kelly -12.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.56%70.73%70.64%72.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.301.301.3580.65%77.15%76.92%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fatih Karagümrük (Visitante)

Previsão 11.31%8.84odd justa
EV +7.41%
Vantagem +0.780%
Kelly +0.872%
Crescimento +0.065%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.91%11.36%11.29%14.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.008.258.509.5016.67%12.13%11.76%10.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.98%5.56odd justa
EV +4.29%
Vantagem +0.740%
Kelly +0.895%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.28%17.91%18.07%20.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.335.185.255.8023.09%19.30%19.05%17.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.77%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 21:10
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:14
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +7.41%E +0.780%K +0.872%G +0.065%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 14:14
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.32%EV -5.25%E -3.91%K -15.43%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.65%EV +2.89%E +0.317%K +0.356%G +0.010%5.69I 17.57%NM 17.03%EV +2.32%E +0.407%K +0.494%G +0.011%3.2%2026-04-22 08:30
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:09
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 71.56%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:15
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:09
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:14
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:15
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:15
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:14
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:19
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:14
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.90%E -0.537%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:19
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.74%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.10%EV +1.76%E +0.195%K +0.219%G +0.004%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 17:34
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:15
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 10.85%EV -3.11%E -0.362%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.16%EV -7.93%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 09:15
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +4.29%E +0.740%K +0.895%G +0.038%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 09:35
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 70.51%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 21:10
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:15
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 17:35
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -12.32%E -9.93%K -51.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -3.90%E -0.459%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 17:35
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.15%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV -5.03%E -0.599%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 08:25
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -6.66%E -5.05%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.35%EV -5.82%E -0.699%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 17.06%EV -0.381%E -0.069%K -0.084%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 15:00
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.44%EV -6.16%E -0.742%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.22%EV -6.32%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:29
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 14:54
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.10%E -0.200%K -0.245%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 08:25
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:45
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:35
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:35
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.55%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:35
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -11.81%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:39
Bovada1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 14:50
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.07%E -6.21%K -26.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -12.38%E -1.60%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 14:54
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -4.54%E -3.36%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 14:54
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -15.20%E -2.03%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -22.14%E -5.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 21:09
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.37%E -5.62%K -23.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.43%EV -16.33%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.70%E -0.886%K -1.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.79%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.03%EV -18.03%E -2.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.17%EV -13.69%E -2.85%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 06:47
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.66%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.29%EV -18.60%E -2.58%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.05%EV -11.89%E -2.43%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 09:34
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -5.95%E -4.48%K -18.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 05:39
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -8.78%E -6.81%K -30.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -19.08%E -4.24%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.02%EV -10.20%E -8.03%K -37.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -20.86%E -2.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -14.59%E -3.07%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.17%EV -9.49%E -7.41%K -33.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.12%EV -23.68%E -3.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -10.09%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 67.56%EV -11.61%E -9.29%K -46.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.08%EV -32.16%E -5.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.36%EV -17.28%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-23 09:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%4.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%4.3%2026-04-23 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.75%4.3%2026-04-23 22:30
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 69.34%7.14I 14.01%NM 12.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%10.9%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.67%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%12.4%2026-04-24 03:00