Language:English
Basaksehir v Kocaelispor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Basaksehir (Local)
Prediction 56.95%1.76fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.09%56.85%56.98%57.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7264.52%61.31%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kocaelispor (Visit)
Prediction 17.34%5.77fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +0.532%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 5.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.42%17.31%19.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.335.305.9521.28%18.78%18.87%16.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV -0.996%
Edge -0.259%
Kelly -0.350%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.73%25.71%26.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.78%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 56.95%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 17.34%; Draw: 25.72%. For Kocaelispor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.77. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -3.76%E -2.23%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.16%E +0.532%K +0.639%G +0.020% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.54%EV +0.563%E +0.097%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.27%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.61%EV -6.03%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -9.46%E -5.95%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 15:37 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.24%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -0.996%E -0.259%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.28%E -0.601%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.82%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.04%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.32%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -18.51%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |