默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Basaksehir v Kocaelispor

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC

最终结果: Basaksehir 2–0 Kocaelispor

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Basaksehir (主队)

预测 56.95%1.76公平赔率
EV -2.05%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.85%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.72

博彩公司预测分布
55.09%56.85%56.98%57.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.631.621.7264.52%61.31%61.73%58.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kocaelispor (客队)

预测 17.34%5.77公平赔率
EV +3.16%
优势 +0.532%
Kelly +0.639%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 5.95

博彩公司预测分布
16.27%17.42%17.31%19.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.335.305.9521.28%18.78%18.87%16.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.72%3.89公平赔率
EV -0.996%
优势 -0.259%
Kelly -0.350%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.60%25.73%25.71%26.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.78%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Basaksehir (主队):56.95%;Kocaelispor (客队):17.34%;平局:25.72%。 对于“Kocaelispor (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.77。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.95,对应+3.16%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -3.76%E -2.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.16%E +0.532%K +0.639%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:35
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:35
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.54%EV +0.563%E +0.097%K +0.117%G +0.001%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:50
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.27%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:54
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.61%EV -6.03%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -9.46%E -5.95%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 15:37
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.24%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -0.996%E -0.259%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.28%E -0.601%K -0.815%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.82%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 15:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:55
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:43
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.04%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.32%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -18.51%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 15:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-16 15:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-16 15:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-16 15:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-08-16 15:45