Idioma:Español
Basaksehir v Kocaelispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Basaksehir (Local)
Predicción 56.95%1.76momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.09%56.85%56.98%57.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.621.7264.52%61.31%61.73%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kocaelispor (Visitante)
Predicción 17.34%5.77momio equitativo
EV +3.16%
Ventaja +0.532%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.27%17.42%17.31%19.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.335.305.9521.28%18.78%18.87%16.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.350%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%25.73%25.71%26.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.78%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Basaksehir (Local): 56.95%; Kocaelispor (Visitante): 17.34%; Empate: 25.72%. Para Kocaelispor (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.77. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -3.76%E -2.23%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.16%E +0.532%K +0.639%G +0.020% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.54%EV +0.563%E +0.097%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.27%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.61%EV -6.03%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -9.46%E -5.95%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.02%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 15:37 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.24%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -0.996%E -0.259%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.28%E -0.601%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.16%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.82%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 15:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.04%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.32%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -18.51%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |