Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC

Score final : Basaksehir 2–0 Kocaelispor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 56.95%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.09%56.85%56.98%57.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.621.7264.52%61.31%61.73%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.34%5.77cote équitable
EV +3.16%
Avantage +0.532%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 5.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.27%17.42%17.31%19.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.335.305.9521.28%18.78%18.87%16.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.996%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.350%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.60%25.73%25.71%26.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.603.603.8529.41%27.78%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Basaksehir (Local) : 56.95% ; Kocaelispor (Visiteur) : 17.34% ; Match nul : 25.72%. Pour Kocaelispor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.77. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.95, soit une espérance positive de +3.16%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.45%EV -3.76%E -2.23%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%EV +3.16%E +0.532%K +0.639%G +0.020%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:35
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.42%EV +0.737%E +0.127%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:35
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.80%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.54%EV +0.563%E +0.097%K +0.117%G +0.001%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.66%EV -3.83%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.304%E -0.053%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.69%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -2.90%E -0.519%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.72%EV -5.47%E -3.29%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:50
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.27%EV -8.32%E -5.17%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -4.64%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 15:54
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.50%EV -2.05%E -1.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.61%EV -6.03%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 15:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -9.46%E -5.95%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -6.37%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 15:37
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.42%EV -7.24%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.91%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -10.59%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -8.11%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.08%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -0.996%E -0.259%K -0.350%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.28%E -0.601%K -0.815%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 15:55
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.41%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -11.16%E -7.16%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -8.97%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -8.89%E -5.55%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.23%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.06%EV -9.84%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.28%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.70%EV -10.77%E -3.10%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.82%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -11.57%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 15:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -3.19%E -1.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -4.90%E -2.93%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.85%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 15:55
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -3.57%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -6.14%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:55
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:43
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.31%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.57%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 15:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.86%EV -6.61%E -4.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -15.04%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.32%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -18.51%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.05%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-08-16 15:55
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-08-16 15:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.19%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-16 15:50
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-08-16 15:45