Language:English
Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Basaksehir (Local)
Prediction 56.69%1.76fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.81%56.77%56.64%58.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.641.7065.36%61.24%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kasimpasa SK (Visit)
Prediction 19.65%5.09fair odd
EV +0.979%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.236%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%19.59%19.71%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.734.755.1423.81%21.13%21.05%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.66%4.23fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%23.64%23.65%25.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.903.904.1629.41%25.66%25.64%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 56.69%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 19.65%; Draw: 23.66%. For Kasimpasa SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.979%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +0.979%E +0.190%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.33%EV -1.57%E -0.377%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.67%EV +0.782%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -2.75%E -0.669%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -2.75%E -0.556%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.53%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.52%EV -4.88%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-17 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.38%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.78%EV -13.26%E -8.67%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.93%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -19.55%E -5.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -15.52%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |