L’École des cotes

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 56.69%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.81%56.77%56.64%58.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.631.641.7065.36%61.24%60.98%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.65%5.09cote équitable
EV +0.979%
Avantage +0.190%
Kelly +0.236%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.37%19.59%19.71%21.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.734.755.1423.81%21.13%21.05%19.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.66%4.23cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.377%
Kelly -0.496%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.82%23.64%23.65%25.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.903.904.1629.41%25.66%25.64%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +0.979%E +0.190%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.33%EV -1.57%E -0.377%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.67%EV +0.782%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.001%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -2.75%E -0.669%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:08
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:05
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 01:59
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -2.75%E -0.556%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:58
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:05
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:04
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:08
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:00
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.53%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.52%EV -4.88%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 11:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:05
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 09:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:20
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:04
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:59
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 18:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:04
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 17:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:29
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:29
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 17:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.38%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 21:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 21:15
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.78%EV -13.26%E -8.67%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.93%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -19.55%E -5.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -15.52%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 21:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%5.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%8.4%2026-04-24 03:35