La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Basaksehir (Local)
Predicción 56.69%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.81%56.77%56.64%58.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.631.641.7065.36%61.24%60.98%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kasimpasa SK (Visitante)
Predicción 19.65%5.09momio equitativo
EV +0.979%
Ventaja +0.190%
Kelly +0.236%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.37%19.59%19.71%21.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.734.755.1423.81%21.13%21.05%19.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.66%4.23momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -0.496%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.82%23.64%23.65%25.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.903.904.1629.41%25.66%25.64%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +0.979%E +0.190%K +0.236%G +0.002% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.33%EV -1.57%E -0.377%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.67%EV +0.782%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.001% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -2.75%E -0.669%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 17:08 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 14:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -2.75%E -0.556%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 01:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:08 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.53%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.52%EV -4.88%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 11:19 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 02:04 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-17 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-17 18:04 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 09:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.38%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.78%EV -13.26%E -8.67%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.93%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -19.55%E -5.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -15.52%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 21:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55% | 1.8% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |