مدرسة الاحتمالات

Basaksehir v Kasimpasa SK

البداية: 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Basaksehir (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.69%1.76السعر العادل
EV -3.62%
الأفضلية -2.13%
Kelly -5.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.81%56.77%56.64%58.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.631.641.7065.36%61.24%60.98%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kasimpasa SK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.65%5.09السعر العادل
EV +0.979%
الأفضلية +0.190%
Kelly +0.236%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.37%19.59%19.71%21.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.734.755.1423.81%21.13%21.05%19.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.66%4.23السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.377%
Kelly -0.496%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.82%23.64%23.65%25.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.903.904.1629.41%25.66%25.64%24.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +0.979%E +0.190%K +0.236%G +0.002%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.33%EV -1.57%E -0.377%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.67%EV +0.782%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.001%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.30%EV -2.75%E -0.669%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +0.193%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:08
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:05
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -1.77%E -0.354%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 01:59
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -2.75%E -0.556%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:58
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:05
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.74%E -0.762%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:04
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:08
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.31%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -4.72%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:00
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -5.89%E -3.55%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.53%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.52%EV -4.88%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 11:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:05
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:04
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:04
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -2.99%E -0.728%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -1.98%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 09:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.68%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 17:09
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.76%E -2.83%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:20
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 02:04
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.44%EV -6.06%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:59
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 18:04
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.08%EV -10.43%E -6.60%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 18:04
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-17 18:04
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -3.62%E -2.13%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.35%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 15:29
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -5.32%E -3.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 17:10
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:29
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 09:29
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 56.25%EV -7.59%E -4.66%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 17:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -8.73%E -5.42%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -10.61%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.69%EV -9.38%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 21:15
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.46%E -3.91%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 11:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.16%E -5.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -11.27%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 09:15
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.59%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.08%E -2.65%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 21:15
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.78%EV -13.26%E -8.67%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -13.56%E -3.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.45%E -3.37%K -4.61%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-23 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -10.99%E -7.00%K -19.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.93%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -19.55%E -5.75%K -8.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -15.52%E -3.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.54%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.29%E -5.81%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -17.49%E -4.16%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -8.90%E -2.31%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 21:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.71%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.80%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%5.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 55.56%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%8.4%2026-04-24 03:35