Language:English
Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Basaksehir (Local)
Prediction 54.32%1.84fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.34%54.30%54.27%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.74%58.82%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Genclerbirligi SK (Visit)
Prediction 21.98%4.55fair odd
EV +0.231%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%21.97%22.02%23.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.284.304.5625.97%23.38%23.26%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.70%4.22fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.694%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%23.73%23.71%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.904.1027.78%25.61%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 54.32%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visit): 21.98%; Draw: 23.70%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.231%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.03%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.23%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -3.55%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 16:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -3.95%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.17%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-19 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.62%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -11.45%E -7.03%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 16:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.42%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.84%EV -11.85%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.11%E -4.16%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-19 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 16:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-19 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.74%EV -9.24%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.81%EV -10.37%E -6.28%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-19 16:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -12.00%E -7.41%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.18%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 16:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.40%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -15.38%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.94% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.04% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 23.02% | -0.1% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06% | 1.4% | 2026-09-19 16:55 |