La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi SK

Inicio: 2026-09-19 16:59 UTC

Final: Basaksehir 4–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Basaksehir (Local)

Predicción 54.32%1.84momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -5.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.34%54.30%54.27%55.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.74%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)

Predicción 21.98%4.55momio equitativo
EV +0.231%
Ventaja +0.051%
Kelly +0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.82%21.97%22.02%23.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.854.284.304.5625.97%23.38%23.26%21.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.70%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -0.694%
Kelly -0.917%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.80%23.73%23.71%24.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.904.1027.78%25.61%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Basaksehir (Local): 54.32%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante): 21.98%; Empate: 23.70%. Para Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.55. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.231%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.03%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.23%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -3.55%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:53
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -3.95%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 16:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.17%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.62%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -11.45%E -7.03%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.42%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.84%EV -11.85%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.11%E -4.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:48
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.74%EV -9.24%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 16:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.81%EV -10.37%E -6.28%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -12.00%E -7.41%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.18%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.40%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -15.38%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.02%-0.1%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%0.3%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-19 16:55