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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi SK

Início: 2026-09-19 16:59 UTC

Final: Basaksehir 4–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Basaksehir (Local)

Previsão 54.32%1.84odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -5.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.34%54.30%54.27%55.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.74%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)

Previsão 21.98%4.55odd justa
EV +0.231%
Vantagem +0.051%
Kelly +0.065%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.82%21.97%22.02%23.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.284.304.5625.97%23.38%23.26%21.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.70%4.22odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -0.694%
Kelly -0.917%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.80%23.73%23.71%24.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.903.904.1027.78%25.61%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Basaksehir (Local): 54.32%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante): 21.98%; Empate: 23.70%. Para Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.55. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.231%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.03%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.23%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -3.55%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:53
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -3.95%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 16:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.17%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.62%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -11.45%E -7.03%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.42%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.84%EV -11.85%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.11%E -4.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:48
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.74%EV -9.24%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 16:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.81%EV -10.37%E -6.28%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -12.00%E -7.41%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.18%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.40%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -15.38%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.02%-0.1%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%0.3%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-19 16:55