L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 16:59 UTC

Score final : Basaksehir 4–0 Genclerbirligi SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 54.32%1.84cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -5.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.34%54.30%54.27%55.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7761.73%58.74%58.82%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Genclerbirligi SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.98%4.55cote équitable
EV +0.231%
Avantage +0.051%
Kelly +0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.82%21.97%22.02%23.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.284.304.5625.97%23.38%23.26%21.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.70%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -0.694%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%23.73%23.71%24.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.904.1027.78%25.61%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Basaksehir (Local) : 54.32% ; Genclerbirligi SK (Visiteur) : 21.98% ; Match nul : 23.70%. Pour Genclerbirligi SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.55. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.56, soit une espérance positive de +0.231%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.11%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.03%EV +0.231%E +0.051%K +0.065%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.86%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.23%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -3.55%E -0.873%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.02%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.21%EV -0.209%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.29%E -0.747%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:53
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.15%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -3.95%E -0.903%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 16:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.17%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -5.48%E -3.15%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.56%E -3.82%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.62%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -10.91%E -6.65%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.31%EV -11.45%E -7.03%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -5.48%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.42%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.58%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.84%EV -11.85%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 16:54
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:44
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.02%E -3.48%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -7.11%E -4.16%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:48
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.47%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -7.68%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.81%EV -8.19%E -4.85%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -10.98%E -2.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.74%EV -9.24%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 16:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.81%EV -10.37%E -6.28%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.28%E -5.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -14.69%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-19 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -12.00%E -7.41%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -12.08%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.65%E -4.50%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.18%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.40%EV -8.74%E -5.20%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -15.38%E -3.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.02%-0.1%2026-09-19 16:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%0.3%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-09-19 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-09-19 16:55