Language:English
Basaksehir v Galatasaray
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Basaksehir (Local)
Prediction 20.13%4.97fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.352%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%20.14%20.12%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.604.9025.00%21.84%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galatasaray (Visit)
Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.31%58.05%58.17%59.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.611.6865.79%62.28%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.446%
Kelly -0.573%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.68%21.81%21.72%23.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.194.204.5026.32%23.88%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 20.13%; Galatasaray (Visit): 58.10%; Draw: 21.78%. For Basaksehir (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.90, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.77%EV -1.98%E -0.406%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.35%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -3.39%E -0.705%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.42%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.72%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74%EV -2.88%E -0.645%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.87%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.87%EV -6.20%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -13.55%E -3.41%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 19.87%EV -6.20%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -13.55%E -3.41%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 14:17 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -8.42%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -8.42%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.50%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 14:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -11.70%E -7.69%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.03%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 06:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.85%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -14.46%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -14.46%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -19.49%E -4.87%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |