默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Basaksehir v Galatasaray

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

最终结果: Basaksehir 2–3 Galatasaray

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Basaksehir (主队)

预测 20.13%4.97公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.280%
Kelly -0.352%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
18.95%20.14%20.12%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.584.604.9025.00%21.84%21.74%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

Galatasaray (客队)

预测 58.10%1.72公平赔率
EV -2.40%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
56.31%58.05%58.17%59.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.611.611.6865.79%62.28%62.11%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.78%4.59公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -0.446%
Kelly -0.573%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.68%21.81%21.72%23.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.194.204.5026.32%23.88%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Basaksehir (主队):20.13%;Galatasaray (客队):58.10%;平局:21.78%。 对于“Basaksehir (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.97。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.90,期望值为-1.37%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:14
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:19
Pinnacle🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.77%EV -1.98%E -0.406%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.35%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:15
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -3.39%E -0.705%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.42%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:14
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.72%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74%EV -2.88%E -0.645%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:05
GTbets🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 19.87%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:55
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Betsson🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 19.87%EV -6.20%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -13.55%E -3.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:50
NordicBet🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 19.87%EV -6.20%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -13.55%E -3.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:50
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:05
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:09
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:17
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -8.42%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -8.42%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.50%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 14:14
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:14
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 12:04
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:04
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:13
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -11.70%E -7.69%K -22.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 06:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 06:10
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.03%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:09
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.85%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -14.46%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 06:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -14.46%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 06:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -19.49%E -4.87%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 12:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-09-04 13:35