Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir v Galatasaray

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Basaksehir 2–3 Galatasaray

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prévision 20.13%4.97cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.280%
Kelly -0.352%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.95%20.14%20.12%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.584.604.9025.00%21.84%21.74%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Galatasaray (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.10%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.31%58.05%58.17%59.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.611.611.6865.79%62.28%62.11%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.446%
Kelly -0.573%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.68%21.81%21.72%23.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.194.204.5026.32%23.88%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Basaksehir (Local) : 20.13% ; Galatasaray (Visiteur) : 58.10% ; Match nul : 21.78%. Pour Basaksehir (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.97. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.90, pour une espérance de -1.37% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.99%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.60%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.06%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:14
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -1.37%E -0.280%K -0.352%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:19
Pinnacle🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.77%EV -1.98%E -0.406%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.35%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 14:15
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -3.39%E -0.705%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.21%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -8.21%E -5.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -4.39%E -0.925%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.42%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:14
1xBet🎯4.72I 21.19%NM 20.54%EV -5.00%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.72%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.74%EV -2.88%E -0.645%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:05
GTbets🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 19.87%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:55
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -5.40%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.09%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Betsson🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 19.87%EV -6.20%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -13.55%E -3.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:50
NordicBet🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 19.87%EV -6.20%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.81%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -13.55%E -3.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:50
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:05
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:09
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.24%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 06:10
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:17
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -7.41%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.24%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -8.42%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -8.42%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.50%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.71%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 14:14
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:14
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.50%EV -5.71%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -5.89%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 12:04
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:04
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -10.53%E -6.84%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:13
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -6.47%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -11.70%E -7.69%K -22.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -11.44%E -2.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -11.11%E -7.26%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 06:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 06:10
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -12.44%E -2.86%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.03%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:09
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -12.85%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -14.46%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 06:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.83%EV -14.46%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.75%EV -9.37%E -6.01%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -13.98%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 06:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -19.49%E -4.87%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.62%EV -8.79%E -5.60%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.16%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 12:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-09-04 13:35