Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 2.27
assuming max odds 3.46
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 29.24%; FC Lugano (Visit): 42.65%; Draw: 28.12%. For Grasshopper Zürich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.594%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.594%E -0.175%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -13.85%E -6.86%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -3.19%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.72%E -0.786%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 15:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.65%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -10.24%E -3.34%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.51%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.03%E -6.61%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.23%EV -13.17%E -4.43%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.63%EV -15.13%E -7.60%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-01 15:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.75%E -4.66%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.21%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -16.67%E -5.85%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.82%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.84%EV -18.46%E -6.37%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 15:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-03-01 15:30 |