A Escola das Odds

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Lugano

Início: 2026-03-01 15:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Previsão 29.24%3.42odd justa
EV -0.594%
Vantagem -0.175%
Kelly -0.248%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.63%29.21%29.24%30.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.173.153.4035.09%31.53%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Lugano (Visitante)

Previsão 42.65%2.34odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -1.41%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.49%42.66%42.55%45.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.992.122.152.2750.25%47.15%46.51%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.12%3.56odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -0.786%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.78%28.12%28.21%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.283.303.4634.72%30.52%30.30%28.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.594%E -0.175%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:29
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:29
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:30
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:30
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -13.85%E -6.86%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:30
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -3.19%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.72%E -0.786%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:30
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:29
GTbets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:28
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 15:29
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.65%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:29
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:30
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:29
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -10.24%E -3.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.51%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.03%E -6.61%K -10.12%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-01 15:30
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.23%EV -13.17%E -4.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.63%EV -15.13%E -7.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.75%E -4.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:29
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.21%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:29
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -16.67%E -5.85%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.82%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.84%EV -18.46%E -6.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-03-01 15:30