La escuela de los momios

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Lugano

Inicio: 2026-03-01 15:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Predicción 29.24%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.594%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.248%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.21%29.24%30.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.173.153.4035.09%31.53%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lugano (Visitante)

Predicción 42.65%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%42.66%42.55%45.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.122.152.2750.25%47.15%46.51%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.786%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.78%28.12%28.21%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.4634.72%30.52%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.594%E -0.175%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:29
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:29
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:30
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:30
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -13.85%E -6.86%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:30
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -3.19%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.72%E -0.786%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:30
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:29
GTbets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:28
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 15:29
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.65%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:29
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:30
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:29
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -10.24%E -3.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.51%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.03%E -6.61%K -10.12%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-01 15:30
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.23%EV -13.17%E -4.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.63%EV -15.13%E -7.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.75%E -4.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:29
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.21%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:29
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -16.67%E -5.85%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.82%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.84%EV -18.46%E -6.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 15:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-03-01 15:30