L’École des cotes

Grasshopper Zürich v FC Lugano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 15:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Prévision 29.24%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.594%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%29.21%29.24%30.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.173.153.4035.09%31.53%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lugano (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.65%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%42.66%42.55%45.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.992.122.152.2750.25%47.15%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.786%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%28.12%28.21%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.4634.72%30.52%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.594%E -0.175%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 15:29
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:29
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 15:29
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:30
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:30
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.08%EV -13.00%E -6.37%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:29
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -13.85%E -6.86%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 15:30
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.63%EV -3.19%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.72%E -0.786%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 15:30
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 15:29
GTbets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.60%EV -3.84%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 15:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:28
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 15:29
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.31%EV -6.73%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.60%E -3.02%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -6.09%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.61%E -2.41%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.65%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:29
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:30
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -7.90%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -7.46%E -3.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 15:29
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -8.78%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.22%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:29
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -3.02%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.05%EV -10.24%E -3.34%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.51%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.24%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 15:29
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.29%E -4.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.03%E -6.61%K -10.12%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-01 15:30
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 29.23%EV -13.17%E -4.43%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.63%EV -15.13%E -7.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 15:28
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -13.75%E -4.66%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:29
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -15.21%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.03%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 15:29
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.34%EV -16.67%E -5.85%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.82%EV -14.71%E -7.35%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.84%EV -18.46%E -6.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-01 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-01 15:29
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-01 15:29
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-03-01 15:30