Language:English
FC Zurich v FC Basel
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Zurich (Local)
Prediction 31.56%3.17fair odd
EV -0.592%
Edge -0.188%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%31.34%31.61%33.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.972.963.1538.17%33.70%33.78%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Basel (Visit)
Prediction 42.87%2.33fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.24%43.09%42.79%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.092.102.3052.08%47.95%47.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.540%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.58%25.60%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.65%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zurich (Local): 31.56%; FC Basel (Visit): 42.87%; Draw: 25.57%. For FC Zurich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.592%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -16.84%E -8.68%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -17.27%E -8.95%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.28%EV -1.83%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -3.07%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.54%E -0.400%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.38%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -10.84%E -5.21%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -6.12%E -2.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -9.12%E -4.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.77%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-22 14:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -17.32%E -6.61%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |