Idioma:Español
FC Zurich v FC Basel
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Zurich (Local)
Predicción 31.56%3.17momio equitativo
EV -0.592%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.275%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.84%31.34%31.61%33.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.972.963.1538.17%33.70%33.78%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Basel (Visitante)
Predicción 42.87%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.24%43.09%42.79%46.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.092.102.3052.08%47.95%47.62%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.57%3.91momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.540%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.58%25.60%26.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.65%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Zurich (Local): 31.56%; FC Basel (Visitante): 42.87%; Empate: 25.57%. Para FC Zurich (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.17. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.15, con un valor esperado de -0.592%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -16.84%E -8.68%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -17.27%E -8.95%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.28%EV -1.83%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -3.07%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.54%E -0.400%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.38%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -10.84%E -5.21%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 13:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -6.12%E -2.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 14:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -9.12%E -4.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.77%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-22 14:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -17.32%E -6.61%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92% | 1.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |