Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Zurich v FC Basel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 18:31 UTC

Score final : FC Zurich 1–2 FC Basel

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Zurich (Local)

Prévision 31.56%3.17cote équitable
EV -0.592%
Avantage -0.188%
Kelly -0.275%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.84%31.34%31.61%33.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.972.963.1538.17%33.70%33.78%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Basel (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.87%2.33cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.24%43.09%42.79%46.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.092.102.3052.08%47.95%47.62%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.540%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.58%25.60%26.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.65%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Zurich (Local) : 31.56% ; FC Basel (Visiteur) : 42.87% ; Match nul : 25.57%. Pour FC Zurich (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.17. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.15, pour une espérance de -0.592% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -16.84%E -8.68%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -17.27%E -8.95%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:20
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:49
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.28%EV -1.83%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -3.07%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 15:15
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.54%E -0.400%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -10.84%E -5.21%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 13:04
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:13
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:14
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -6.12%E -2.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 14:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -9.12%E -4.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 12:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.77%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 14:53
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -17.32%E -6.61%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-22 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-22 15:00
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-22 15:20