Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich v FC Basel

Início: 2026-08-22 18:31 UTC

Final: FC Zurich 1–2 FC Basel

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich (Local)

Previsão 31.56%3.17odd justa
EV -0.592%
Vantagem -0.188%
Kelly -0.275%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.84%31.34%31.61%33.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.972.963.1538.17%33.70%33.78%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Basel (Visitante)

Previsão 42.87%2.33odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.611%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.24%43.09%42.79%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.092.102.3052.08%47.95%47.62%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.57%3.91odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.400%
Kelly -0.540%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.46%25.58%25.60%26.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.623.603.8529.41%27.65%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Zurich (Local): 31.56%; FC Basel (Visitante): 42.87%; Empate: 25.57%. Para FC Zurich (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.17. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.15, com valor esperado de -0.592%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:19
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.98%EV -0.592%E -0.188%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.34%EV -15.55%E -7.89%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 14:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.20%EV -16.84%E -8.68%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -2.17%E -0.700%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -17.27%E -8.95%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -3.75%E -1.23%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.08%EV -17.69%E -9.22%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:20
GTbets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -4.06%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:49
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.17%EV -5.01%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.28%EV -1.83%E -0.801%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.55%EV -3.07%E -0.811%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-22 15:15
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -6.98%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -1.54%E -0.400%K -0.540%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.70%EV -5.26%E -2.38%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.65%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.82%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -6.59%E -2.23%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.24%EV -1.40%E -0.611%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.69%E -2.59%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 12:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -10.84%E -5.21%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 13:04
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -5.38%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -4.10%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:13
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:14
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -6.12%E -2.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 14:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.93%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 12:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -9.12%E -4.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -9.98%E -4.75%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.21%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 12:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.83%E -3.64%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.05%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-22 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.99%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -11.77%E -3.41%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-22 14:53
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -17.32%E -6.61%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.12%E -5.91%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -10.49%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-22 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-08-22 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-22 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-22 15:00
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-08-22 15:20