A Escola das Odds

FC Sion v FC Lugano

Início: 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Previsão 45.86%2.18odd justa
EV -5.99%
Vantagem -2.92%
Kelly -5.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.39%45.95%45.81%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.0552.36%49.98%50.00%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Lugano (Visitante)

Previsão 26.58%3.76odd justa
EV +2.58%
Vantagem +0.669%
Kelly +0.902%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.98%26.53%26.56%27.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.443.403.8632.26%29.11%29.41%25.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.57%3.63odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.56%27.52%27.62%28.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.90%29.85%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +2.58%E +0.669%K +0.902%G +0.023%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -4.07%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 14:16
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -0.342%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -0.342%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:16
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.90%E -3.40%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 14:20
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.20%E -0.599%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.83%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 14:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 14:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 14:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:25
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:26
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -9.11%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.85%EV -9.86%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 14:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:06
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:06
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 14:01
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:05
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:23
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:21
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-14 14:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 14:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 14:10
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:01
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:16
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:21
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -9.66%E -4.90%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -10.12%E -5.16%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 14:15
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -11.95%E -6.22%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-14 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.03%E -5.69%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.96%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -17.30%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26