L’École des cotes

FC Sion v FC Lugano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

Score final : FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Prévision 45.86%2.18cote équitable
EV -5.99%
Avantage -2.92%
Kelly -5.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.39%45.95%45.81%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.0552.36%49.98%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lugano (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV +2.58%
Avantage +0.669%
Kelly +0.902%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.53%26.56%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.403.8632.26%29.11%29.41%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.56%27.52%27.62%28.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.90%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +2.58%E +0.669%K +0.902%G +0.023%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -4.07%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 14:16
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -0.342%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -0.342%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:16
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.90%E -3.40%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 14:20
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.20%E -0.599%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.83%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 14:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 14:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 14:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:25
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:26
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -9.11%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.85%EV -9.86%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 14:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:06
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:06
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 14:01
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:05
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:23
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:21
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-14 14:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 14:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 14:10
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:01
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:16
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:21
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -9.66%E -4.90%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -10.12%E -5.16%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 14:15
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -11.95%E -6.22%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-14 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.03%E -5.69%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.96%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -17.30%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26