مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Sion v FC Lugano

البداية: 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Sion 2–2 FC Lugano

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Sion (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.86%2.18السعر العادل
EV -5.99%
الأفضلية -2.92%
Kelly -5.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.39%45.95%45.81%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.002.002.0552.36%49.98%50.00%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Lugano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.58%3.76السعر العادل
EV +2.58%
الأفضلية +0.669%
Kelly +0.902%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.98%26.53%26.56%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.443.403.8632.26%29.11%29.41%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.57%3.63السعر العادل
EV -3.52%
الأفضلية -1.01%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.56%27.52%27.62%28.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.90%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.17%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +2.58%E +0.669%K +0.902%G +0.023%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.78%EV -4.07%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 14:16
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -0.342%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -0.342%E -0.091%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:16
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.90%E -3.40%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV -1.94%E -0.525%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 14:20
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -8.74%E -4.39%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.20%E -0.599%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.83%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-14 14:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 14:15
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 14:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:25
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:26
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.99%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:10
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -8.32%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.62%EV -9.11%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.85%EV -9.86%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-14 14:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:06
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:06
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 14:01
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:05
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:23
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-14 14:21
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.57%E -5.42%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.64%E -2.84%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-14 14:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 14:10
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.36%E -3.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.97%E -3.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-14 14:10
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:01
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:16
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:21
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.99%E -2.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-14 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -9.66%E -4.90%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-14 14:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.28%E -4.14%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:00
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.07%EV -10.12%E -5.16%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 14:15
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.83%EV -11.95%E -6.22%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.50%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-14 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.03%E -5.69%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -14.96%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.41%E -6.50%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -17.62%E -5.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -17.30%E -5.77%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-14 14:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26