Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.31
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Luzern (Local): 42.30%; BSC Young Boys (Visit): 32.86%; Draw: 24.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.656%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -2.08%E -0.696%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.66%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -0.656%E -0.164%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.37%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -8.65%E -3.11%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -8.65%E -3.11%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.79%EV -7.36%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.88%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 19:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 19:12 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.83%EV -9.47%E -4.43%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -10.32%E -4.87%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.35%EV -11.93%E -4.45%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-04 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 19:12 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -16.21%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -20.53%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.28%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.26%E -4.59%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.28%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.32%EV -17.85%E -7.14%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.61%EV -17.51%E -8.98%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.59%EV -16.21%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.80%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.57% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.64% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |