L’École des cotes

FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Prévision 42.30%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.59%42.28%42.36%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.172.162.3151.28%46.17%46.30%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

BSC Young Boys (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.86%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.709%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.54%32.89%32.83%34.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.802.803.0040.00%35.73%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.84%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.656%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.219%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.82%24.81%26.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.744.0031.25%27.18%26.74%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -2.08%E -0.696%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.66%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:15
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:14
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:15
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -0.656%E -0.164%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 18:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:14
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.37%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -8.65%E -3.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 19:15
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -8.65%E -3.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 19:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 18:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:14
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:15
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.79%EV -7.36%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.88%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 19:14
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 19:13
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 19:14
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 19:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 17:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:12
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 18:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 19:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.83%EV -9.47%E -4.43%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -10.32%E -4.87%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.35%EV -11.93%E -4.45%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 19:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:12
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -16.21%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -20.53%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-04 19:15
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.28%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.26%E -4.59%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 19:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.28%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.32%EV -17.85%E -7.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-04 19:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.61%EV -17.51%E -8.98%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.59%EV -16.21%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.80%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-04 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-03-04 19:15