مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Luzern v BSC Young Boys

البداية: 2026-03-04 19:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Luzern (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.30%2.36السعر العادل
EV -2.28%
الأفضلية -0.987%
Kelly -1.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.59%42.28%42.36%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.172.162.3151.28%46.17%46.30%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

BSC Young Boys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.86%3.04السعر العادل
EV -1.42%
الأفضلية -0.473%
Kelly -0.709%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.54%32.89%32.83%34.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.802.803.0040.00%35.73%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.84%4.03السعر العادل
EV -0.656%
الأفضلية -0.164%
Kelly -0.219%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.57%24.82%24.81%26.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.683.744.0031.25%27.18%26.74%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.88%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.46%EV -2.08%E -0.696%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.66%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 19:15
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:15
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:14
BetAnything2.31I 43.29%NM 41.77%EV -2.28%E -0.987%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.16%EV -1.42%E -0.473%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 19:15
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -0.656%E -0.164%K -0.219%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 18:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.82%E -2.14%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:14
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.37%EV -4.38%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.19%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 19:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -8.65%E -3.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 19:15
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.09%E -2.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -8.65%E -3.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 19:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 19:14
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.70%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 19:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 18:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:14
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.93%E -3.15%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:15
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.79%EV -7.36%E -3.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.88%EV -3.39%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 19:14
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -8.20%E -3.78%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 19:13
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 42.79%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -3.72%E -1.27%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 19:14
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -8.62%E -3.99%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 19:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 17:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -5.36%E -1.86%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 19:12
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 18:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 19:14
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.05%E -4.21%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.83%EV -9.47%E -4.43%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -10.32%E -4.87%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.35%EV -11.93%E -4.45%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 19:14
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.87%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 19:12
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -7.99%E -2.85%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -9.63%E -3.50%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-04 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.09%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.36%EV -12.92%E -4.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.69%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -16.21%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.16%E -5.32%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.78%EV -14.56%E -5.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.63%EV -20.53%E -6.41%K -9.33%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-04 19:15
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.28%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.62%EV -12.26%E -4.59%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 19:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 41.85%EV -13.28%E -6.48%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.32%EV -17.85%E -7.14%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.83%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-04 19:15
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.61%EV -17.51%E -8.98%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.59%EV -16.21%E -6.35%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.80%EV -16.80%E -5.01%K -7.15%G +0.000%20.3%2026-03-04 19:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-03-04 19:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-03-04 19:15
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.64%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-03-04 19:15