Die Schule der Quoten

FC Lugano v FC Thun

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

58 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

FC Lugano (Heim)

Prognose 37.14%2.69faire Quote
EV -1.94%
Vorteil -0.737%
Kelly -1.19%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.17%37.05%37.13%38.84%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.492.502.6443.48%40.17%40.00%37.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

FC Thun (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.89%2.71faire Quote
EV -1.15%
Vorteil -0.428%
Kelly -0.683%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.75%36.99%36.86%38.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.482.452.6843.48%40.38%40.82%37.31%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.97%3.85faire Quote
EV -2.60%
Vorteil -0.694%
Kelly -0.946%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.00%25.96%26.01%28.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.55%28.57%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (58 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79%EV -1.94%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -1.15%E -0.428%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79%EV -1.94%E -0.737%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -1.15%E -0.428%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 15:40
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%EV -2.32%E -0.881%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%EV -2.99%E -1.14%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.42%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 15:40
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -2.69%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 08:05
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 36.71%EV -4.54%E -1.77%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.15%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.14%EV -6.24%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 07:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.60%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 15:40
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.60%E -0.694%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 15:39
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 15:40
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:04
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 00:05
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 05:30
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.60%E -0.694%K -0.946%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 15:40
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 15:49
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 15:40
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -7.02%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 14:44
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 07:05
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 15:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:40
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 15:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 14:49
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:39
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.80%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 15:40
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:39
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:44
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:44
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 14:45
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 15:49
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 15:40
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 15:40
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -6.50%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 15:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 07:05
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -15.16%E -6.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.08%E -7.36%K -11.04%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 15:49
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -11.60%E -4.87%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.75%EV -1.89%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 12:27
BetAnything2.38I 42.02%NM 38.84%EV -11.60%E -4.87%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.75%EV -1.89%E -0.709%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.67%EV -11.97%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.44%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 15:39
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.72%EV -13.83%E -5.96%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.16%EV -10.74%E -4.44%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -12.99%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 14:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 15:39
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -14.57%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -12.21%E -5.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 14:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-04-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.86%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-04 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.86%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-04 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.86%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.00%1.2%2026-04-04 15:50
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.09%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-04-04 15:50