默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Lugano v FC Basel

开赛时间: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

最终结果: FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Lugano (主队)

预测 62.31%1.60公平赔率
EV -4.66%
优势 -3.05%
Kelly -8.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
58.69%62.35%62.23%65.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.481.491.5372.99%67.44%67.11%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Basel (客队)

预测 17.76%5.63公平赔率
EV +21.69%
优势 +3.17%
Kelly +3.71%
增长率 +0.804%

假设最高赔率为 6.85

博彩公司预测分布
13.61%17.65%17.81%19.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.155.206.8522.22%19.43%19.23%14.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.92%5.02公平赔率
EV -0.383%
优势 -0.077%
Kelly -0.096%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.99%20.00%19.96%22.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.544.605.0026.67%22.03%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Lugano (主队):62.31%;FC Basel (客队):17.76%;平局:19.92%。 对于“FC Basel (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.63。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.85,对应+21.69%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.67%EV -11.52%E -8.11%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV +21.69%E +3.17%K +3.71%G +0.804%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.27%EV -14.63%E -10.68%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -2.29%E -0.417%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.383%E -0.077%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.29%E -0.417%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.33%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.26%EV -2.47%E -0.450%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:25
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.52%EV -4.60%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.59%EV -8.95%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.84%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:20
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:23
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.78%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -9.03%E -6.18%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.46%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -8.51%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -8.51%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:23
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.91%E -3.91%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.55%EV -10.46%E -2.08%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.55%EV -4.77%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -18.31%E -4.47%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.05%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.18%EV -12.06%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -15.62%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.62%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -25.29%E -6.74%K -9.20%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-17 14:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.52%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25