Школа коэффициентов

FC Lugano v FC Basel

Начало: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Итог: FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

FC Lugano (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.31%1.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.66%
Преимущество -3.05%
Kelly -8.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.69%62.35%62.23%65.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.371.481.491.5372.99%67.44%67.11%65.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

FC Basel (Гости)

Прогноз 17.76%5.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +21.69%
Преимущество +3.17%
Kelly +3.71%
Рост +0.804%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.85

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.61%17.65%17.81%19.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.155.206.8522.22%19.43%19.23%14.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 19.92%5.02справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.383%
Преимущество -0.077%
Kelly -0.096%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.99%20.00%19.96%22.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.544.605.0026.67%22.03%21.74%20.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.67%EV -11.52%E -8.11%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV +21.69%E +3.17%K +3.71%G +0.804%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.27%EV -14.63%E -10.68%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -2.29%E -0.417%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.383%E -0.077%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.29%E -0.417%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.33%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.26%EV -2.47%E -0.450%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:25
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.52%EV -4.60%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.59%EV -8.95%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.84%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:24
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:23
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.78%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -9.03%E -6.18%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.46%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -8.51%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -8.51%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:23
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.91%E -3.91%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.55%EV -10.46%E -2.08%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.55%EV -4.77%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -18.31%E -4.47%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.05%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.18%EV -12.06%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -15.62%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.62%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -25.29%E -6.74%K -9.20%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.52%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25