مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Lugano v FC Basel

البداية: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Lugano 4–0 FC Basel

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Lugano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.31%1.60السعر العادل
EV -4.66%
الأفضلية -3.05%
Kelly -8.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.69%62.35%62.23%65.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.371.481.491.5372.99%67.44%67.11%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Basel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.76%5.63السعر العادل
EV +21.69%
الأفضلية +3.17%
Kelly +3.71%
النمو +0.804%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.61%17.65%17.81%19.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.155.206.8522.22%19.43%19.23%14.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.92%5.02السعر العادل
EV -0.383%
الأفضلية -0.077%
Kelly -0.096%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.99%20.00%19.96%22.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.544.605.0026.67%22.03%21.74%20.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.67%EV -11.52%E -8.11%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV +21.69%E +3.17%K +3.71%G +0.804%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.27%EV -14.63%E -10.68%K -39.55%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -0.516%E -0.092%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.01%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -2.29%E -0.417%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.383%E -0.077%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -2.29%E -0.417%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.33%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.26%EV -2.47%E -0.450%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.42%EV -7.56%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 14:25
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 61.89%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.52%EV -4.60%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.59%EV -8.95%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.30%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.84%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 14:24
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:20
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:23
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -6.73%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.78%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.30%EV -9.03%E -6.18%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.46%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -7.62%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -8.51%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.05%EV -8.51%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -6.36%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:23
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.91%E -3.91%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.55%EV -10.46%E -2.08%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.55%EV -4.77%E -0.997%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.36%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.53%E -4.36%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.97%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.35%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -5.29%E -3.48%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -18.31%E -4.47%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.99%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.05%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.18%EV -12.06%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -9.35%E -2.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.40%E -5.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -4.37%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -15.62%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -15.62%E -3.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -18.28%E -3.97%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.34%E -2.80%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.34%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -13.73%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -20.06%E -4.46%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -25.29%E -6.74%K -9.20%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-17 14:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.20%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.96%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.2%2026-05-17 14:24
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.52%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%1.9%2026-05-17 14:25