默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Basel v FC Thun

开赛时间: 2026-05-02 18:30 UTC

最终结果: FC Basel 3–1 FC Thun

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Basel (主队)

预测 34.72%2.88公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.741%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.82

博彩公司预测分布
33.39%34.88%34.66%37.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.432.602.622.8241.15%38.53%38.17%35.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Thun (客队)

预测 39.65%2.52公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -0.675%
Kelly -1.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布
37.71%39.57%39.60%40.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.342.372.4846.51%42.66%42.19%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.63%3.90公平赔率
EV -0.030%
优势 -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.45%25.55%25.74%27.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.643.603.9030.30%27.47%27.78%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Basel (主队):34.72%;FC Thun (客队):39.65%;平局:25.63%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.901。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.900,期望值为-0.030%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -2.09%E -0.741%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:25
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -2.79%E -0.995%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.17%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.62%E -3.27%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -8.75%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.31%E -0.341%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.69%EV -4.87%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.31%EV -9.21%E -4.02%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 18:25
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.05%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.59%EV -1.68%E -0.675%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.36%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:25
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -7.62%E -3.27%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.66%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.66%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:26
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 18:06
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.08%EV -11.59%E -5.20%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.41%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.64%EV -12.51%E -4.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.68%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 18:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.76%E -6.86%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -15.63%E -6.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -15.63%E -6.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.18%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-05-02 18:26