مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Basel v FC Thun

البداية: 2026-05-02 18:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Basel 3–1 FC Thun

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Basel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.72%2.88السعر العادل
EV -2.09%
الأفضلية -0.741%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.39%34.88%34.66%37.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.432.602.622.8241.15%38.53%38.17%35.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Thun (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.65%2.52السعر العادل
EV -1.68%
الأفضلية -0.675%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.71%39.57%39.60%40.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.342.372.4846.51%42.66%42.19%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.63%3.90السعر العادل
EV -0.030%
الأفضلية -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.45%25.55%25.74%27.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.643.603.9030.30%27.47%27.78%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -2.09%E -0.741%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:25
1xBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -2.79%E -0.995%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.17%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.62%E -3.27%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -8.75%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.31%E -0.341%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 33.69%EV -4.87%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.31%EV -9.21%E -4.02%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 18:25
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 35.05%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.59%EV -1.68%E -0.675%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.36%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:25
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -7.62%E -3.27%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:04
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.66%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:05
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.66%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:26
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 18:06
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 18:05
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 18:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 18:10
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 18:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.08%EV -11.59%E -5.20%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 18:10
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.41%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.64%EV -12.51%E -4.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.68%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 18:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.76%E -6.86%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -15.63%E -6.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -15.63%E -6.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.18%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-05-02 18:26