A Escola das Odds

FC Basel v FC Thun

Início: 2026-05-02 18:30 UTC

Final: FC Basel 3–1 FC Thun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Previsão 34.72%2.88odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -0.741%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.39%34.88%34.66%37.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.432.602.622.8241.15%38.53%38.17%35.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Thun (Visitante)

Previsão 39.65%2.52odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.675%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.71%39.57%39.60%40.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.342.372.4846.51%42.66%42.19%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.63%3.90odd justa
EV -0.030%
Vantagem -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.45%25.55%25.74%27.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.643.603.9030.30%27.47%27.78%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.29%EV -2.09%E -0.741%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.79%EV -3.66%E -1.51%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 18:25
1xBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -2.79%E -0.995%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:20
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -4.17%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.62%E -3.27%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -8.75%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:25
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.31%E -0.341%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.52%E -1.64%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada2.74I 36.50%NM 33.69%EV -4.87%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.31%EV -9.21%E -4.02%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 18:25
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 35.05%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.59%EV -1.68%E -0.675%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.36%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.54%EV -2.47%E -1.00%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 18:25
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:25
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:25
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -7.62%E -3.27%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.00%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:15
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:04
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:05
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.66%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:05
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.66%EV -6.95%E -2.59%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.53%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 18:26
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 18:06
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 18:05
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.99%E -3.02%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 18:05
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:25
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 18:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 18:10
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.03%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 18:10
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 18:05
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.08%EV -11.59%E -5.20%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 18:10
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -9.73%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -15.41%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.64%EV -12.51%E -4.96%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.68%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-02 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 17:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 18:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.20%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.76%E -6.86%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.63%EV -14.94%E -6.10%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 12:05
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -15.63%E -6.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -15.63%E -6.43%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -6.83%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -0.030%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 12:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.18%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-05-02 18:26