Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel v FC St Gallen

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Basel 1–3 FC St Gallen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel (Local)

Prediction 46.25%2.16fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.04%45.94%46.23%47.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.022.002.2054.64%49.57%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St Gallen (Visit)

Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.236%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%30.46%30.13%33.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2936.36%33.15%33.33%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.59%4.24fair odd
EV +0.022%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%23.59%23.65%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.843.804.2430.77%26.04%26.32%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Basel (Local): 46.25%; FC St Gallen (Visit): 30.16%; Draw: 23.59%. For FC Basel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV +1.75%E +0.796%K +1.46%G +0.026%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.93%EV -1.95%E -0.919%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -2.87%E -1.37%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -17.06%E -6.20%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.66%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -5.19%E -2.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -10.12%E -3.40%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-14 14:16
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -5.65%E -2.77%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -11.30%E -3.01%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:26
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.84%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.37%EV -0.775%E -0.236%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.79%EV +0.022%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.09%EV -6.57%E -3.25%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-14 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -3.49%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.28%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.58%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.84%EV -2.58%E -0.800%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.58%EV -10.59%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.11%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:26
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 14:21
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-14 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:21
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-14 14:16
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.51%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.85%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.18%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-14 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.72%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-14 14:21
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.76%EV -7.50%E -3.75%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.59%EV -16.46%E -5.94%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -16.26%E -4.58%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -1.98%E -0.610%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.62%EV -8.42%E -4.25%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.28%EV -9.35%E -4.77%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -6.82%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.922%E -0.219%K -0.288%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:26
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:20
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:21
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.54%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-14 14:16
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.51%EV -9.81%E -5.03%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.67%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-14 14:16
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -10.27%E -5.30%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.00%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.64%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-14 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -10.74%E -5.56%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.51%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.54%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-14 14:21
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -8.00%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 14:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -11.66%E -6.11%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -13.14%E -4.56%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -23.33%E -7.18%K -10.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-14 14:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.15%EV -12.12%E -6.38%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.05%E -4.93%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-14 14:26
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -15.36%E -8.39%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.55%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -10.36%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-14 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 41.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 32.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 26.14%-8.9%2026-05-14 14:16
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.21%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.77%2.1%2026-05-14 14:26